Kernville Airbnb Market Analysis 2025: Short Term Rental Data & Vacation Rental Statistics in California, United States

Source: AirROI
Last updated: 2025-03-31

Is Airbnb profitable in Kernville in 2025? Explore comprehensive Airbnb analytics for Kernville, California, United States to uncover income potential. This 2025 STR market report for Kernville, based on AirROI data from April 2024 to March 2025, reveals key trends in the niche market of 89 active listings.

Whether you're considering an Airbnb investment in Kernville, optimizing your existing vacation rental, or exploring rental arbitrage opportunities, understanding the Kernville Airbnb data is crucial. Leveraging the low regulation environment is key to maximizing your short term rental income potential. Let's dive into the specifics.

Key Kernville Airbnb Performance Metrics Overview

Avg. Daily Rate (ADR)(?)
$267
The average rental revenue earned for an occupied room per day in Kernville.
Occupancy Rate(?)
37.6%
Moderate demand with booking opportunities.
Median Annual Revenue(?)
$35,122
Typical annual income for an Airbnb listing in Kernville. Factors like property type, size, and location influence actual earnings.
Revenue Growth YoY(?)
3.9%
Positive growth (3.9%) vs. last year.
Peak Revenue Month(?)
June
The month with the highest average earnings, indicating peak season in Kernville.
Lowest Revenue Month(?)
February
The month with the lowest average earnings, indicating the low season in Kernville.
STR Regulation Level(?)
Low
Fewer regulations, offering more operational flexibility.
Active Airbnb Listings(?)
89
Total number of active short-term rentals listed.

Monthly Airbnb Revenue Variations & Income Potential in Kernville (2025)

Understanding the monthly revenue variations for Airbnb listings in Kernville is key to maximizing your short term rental income potential. Seasonality significantly impacts earnings. Our analysis, based on data from the past 12 months, shows that the peak revenue month for STRs in Kernville is typically June, while February often presents the lowest earnings, highlighting opportunities for strategic pricing adjustments during shoulder and low seasons. Explore the typical Airbnb income in Kernville across different performance tiers:

  • Best-in-class properties (Top 10%) achieve $7,296+ monthly, often utilizing dynamic pricing and superior guest experiences.
  • Strong performing properties (Top 25%) earn $4,533 or more, indicating effective management and desirable locations/amenities.
  • Typical properties (Median) generate around $2,534 per month, representing the average market performance.
  • Entry-level properties (Bottom 25%) see earnings around $1,230, often with potential for optimization.

Average Monthly Airbnb Earnings Trend in Kernville

Kernville Airbnb Occupancy Rate Trends (2025)

Maximize your bookings by understanding the Kernville STR occupancy trends. Seasonal demand shifts significantly influence how often properties are booked. Typically, Julysees the highest demand (peak season occupancy), while February experiences the lowest (low season). Effective strategies, like adjusting minimum stays or offering promotions, can boost occupancy during slower periods. Here's how different property tiers perform in Kernville:

  • Best-in-class properties (Top 10%) achieve 73%+ occupancy, indicating high desirability and potentially optimized availability.
  • Strong performing properties (Top 25%) maintain 55% or higher occupancy, suggesting good market fit and guest satisfaction.
  • Typical properties (Median) have an occupancy rate around 36%.
  • Entry-level properties (Bottom 25%) average 17% occupancy, potentially facing higher vacancy.

Average Monthly Occupancy Rate Trend in Kernville

Average Daily Rate (ADR) Airbnb Trends in Kernville (2025)

Effective short term rental pricing strategy in Kernville involves understanding monthly ADR fluctuations. The Average Daily Rate (ADR) for Airbnb in Kernville typically peaks in March and dips lowest during October. Leveraging Airbnb dynamic pricing tools or strategies based on this seasonality can significantly boost revenue. Here's a look at the typical nightly rates achieved:

  • Best-in-class properties (Top 10%) command rates of $456+ per night, often due to premium features or locations.
  • Strong performing properties (Top 25%) achieve nightly rates of $318 or more.
  • Typical properties (Median) charge around $203 per night.
  • Entry-level properties (Bottom 25%) earn around $152 per night.

Average Daily Rate (ADR) Trend by Month in Kernville

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Airbnb Seasonality Analysis & Trends in Kernville (2025)

Peak Season (June, May, July)
  • Revenue averages $4,714 per month
  • Occupancy rates average 46.4%
  • Daily rates average $251
Shoulder Season
  • Revenue averages $3,363 per month
  • Occupancy maintains around 39.6%
  • Daily rates hold near $254
Low Season (January, February, March)
  • Revenue drops to average $2,189 per month
  • Occupancy decreases to average 27.8%
  • Daily rates adjust to average $277

Seasonality Insights for Kernville

  • The Airbnb seasonality in Kernville shows highly seasonal trends requiring careful strategy. While the sections above show seasonal averages, it's also insightful to look at the extremes:
  • During the high season, the absolute peak month showcases Kernville's highest earning potential, with monthly revenues capable of climbing to $4,828, occupancy reaching a high of 52.4%, and ADRs peaking at $299.
  • Conversely, the slowest single month of the year, typically falling within the low season, marks the market's lowest point. In this month, revenue might dip to $1,848, occupancy could drop to 25.9%, and ADRs may adjust down to $241.
  • Understanding both the seasonal averages and these monthly peaks and troughs in revenue, occupancy, and ADR is crucial for maximizing your Airbnb profit potential in Kernville.

Seasonal Strategies for Maximizing Profit

  • Peak Season: Maximize revenue through premium pricing and potentially longer minimum stays. Ensure high availability.
  • Low Season: Offer competitive pricing, special promotions (e.g., extended stay discounts), and flexible cancellation policies. Target off-season travelers like remote workers or budget-conscious guests.
  • Shoulder Seasons: Implement dynamic pricing that balances peak and low rates. Target weekend travelers or specific events. Offer slightly more flexible terms than peak season.
  • Regularly analyze your own performance against these Kernville seasonality benchmarks and adjust your pricing and availability strategy accordingly.

Best Areas for Airbnb Investment in Kernville (2025)

Exploring the top neighborhoods for short-term rentals in Kernville? This section highlights key areas, outlining why they are attractive for hosts and guests, along with notable local attractions. Consider these locations based on your target guest profile and investment strategy.

Neighborhood / AreaWhy Host Here? (Target Guests & Appeal)Key Attractions & Landmarks
Sequoia National Park
Home to some of the largest trees on Earth, this national park attracts nature lovers and adventure seekers year-round. Ideal for those looking for a serene getaway surrounded by stunning landscapes.
Giant Forest, General Sherman Tree, Crystal Cave, Crescent Meadow, Moro Rock
Lake Isabella
A picturesque lake perfect for fishing, boating, and outdoor activities. This area draws families and outdoor enthusiasts looking for relaxation and adventure in nature.
Lake Isabella, Isabella Dam, Kern River, Fishing and boating, Hiking trails
Kern River
Renowned for its whitewater rafting and kayaking, the Kern River area appeals to thrill-seekers and nature enthusiasts while offering beautiful scenic views and camping opportunities.
Kern River Rafting, Campground access, Fishing, Hiking, Wildlife viewing
Kernville Downtown
A charming small town with a historic feel, offering various shops, restaurants, and access to outdoor activities. Appeals to tourists looking for local culture and quaint atmosphere.
Kernville Historic District, Kern Valley Museum, Local art galleries, Restaurants and cafes, Live music events
Whiskey Flat Days
An annual event celebrating the rich history of Kernville, drawing large crowds for festivities and activities. Great for Airbnb hosts looking to capture the tourism during this event.
Parades, Live music and entertainment, Arts and crafts vendors, Horse riding events, Food stalls
Mount Lassen National Park
Known for geothermal features and beautiful landscapes, this park attracts visitors who enjoy hiking, fishing, and camping. Perfect for hosting nature-focused stays.
Lassen Peak, Bumpass Hell, Manzanita Lake, Hiking trails, Wildflower viewing
Sierra Nevada Foothills
Offers stunning views and access to numerous recreational activities. Ideal for travelers seeking natural beauty, adventure sports, and cozy accommodations.
Hiking and climbing, Scenic drives, Wildlife watching, Wine tasting, Local farms
Tule River Indian Reservation
A culturally rich area with unique experiences, attracting visitors interested in Native American history and culture. Provides a unique hosting opportunity.
Cultural events, Craft shops, Local cuisine, Scenic trails, Wildlife viewing

Understanding Airbnb License Requirements & STR Laws in Kernville (2025)

While Kernville, California, United States currently shows low STR regulations, specific Airbnb license requirements might still exist or change. Always verify the latest short term rental regulations and Airbnb license requirements directly with local government authorities for Kernville to ensure full compliance before hosting.

(Source: AirROI data, 2025, finding no licensed listings among those analyzed)

Top Performing Airbnb Properties in Kernville (2025)

Benchmark your potential! Explore examples of top-performing Airbnb properties in Kernvillebased on Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) revenue. Analyze their characteristics, revenue, occupancy rate, and ADR to understand what drives success in this market.

The Kern River House Big View Kernville Waterfront

The Kern River House Big View Kernville Waterfront

Entire Place • 4 bedrooms

$155,998
Revenue
63.8%
Occupancy
$635.11
Daily Rate
The Kern River House: Lookout Kernville Waterfront

The Kern River House: Lookout Kernville Waterfront

Entire Place • 3 bedrooms

$121,706
Revenue
68.8%
Occupancy
$473.64
Daily Rate
Kern River Willow Cabin Private Hot Tub Fireplace

Kern River Willow Cabin Private Hot Tub Fireplace

Entire Place • 3 bedrooms

$118,630
Revenue
78.2%
Occupancy
$411.49
Daily Rate
The Lazy Crane; A Luxury Cabin on the Kern River

The Lazy Crane; A Luxury Cabin on the Kern River

Entire Place • 3 bedrooms

$85,150
Revenue
38.3%
Occupancy
$588.21
Daily Rate
River's Edge Cottage Kernville Suite Fireplace

River's Edge Cottage Kernville Suite Fireplace

Entire Place • 1 bedroom

$82,803
Revenue
70.8%
Occupancy
$307.87
Daily Rate
River Dog Retreat- Kernville

River Dog Retreat- Kernville

Entire Place • 3 bedrooms

$80,810
Revenue
50.3%
Occupancy
$477.03
Daily Rate

Note: Performance varies based on location, size, amenities, seasonality, and management quality. Data reflects the past 12 months.

Top Performing Airbnb Hosts in Kernville (2025)

Learn from the best! This table showcases top-performing Airbnb hosts in Kernville based on the number of properties managed and estimated total revenue over the past year. Analyze their scale and performance metrics.

Host NamePropertiesGrossing RevenueStay ReviewsAvg Rating
The Kern River House5$538,6016275.00/5.0
Makenzie9$288,6411364.30/5.0
Amelia4$149,8462694.80/5.0
Blue Lake2$87,7421004.91/5.0
Tianna1$85,1501364.91/5.0
Doug1$80,8101474.98/5.0
Ardalan1$78,852385.00/5.0
Jason1$78,618134.92/5.0
Brenda1$77,892215.00/5.0
Megan2$77,416474.92/5.0

Analyzing the strategies of top hosts, such as their property selection, pricing, and guest communication, can offer valuable lessons for optimizing your own Airbnb operations in Kernville.

Dive Deeper: Advanced Kernville STR Market Data (2025)

Ready to unlock more insights? AirROI provides access to advanced metrics and comprehensive Airbnb data for Kernville. Explore detailed analytics beyond this report to refine your investment strategy, optimize pricing, and maximize your vacation rental profits.

Explore Advanced Metrics

Kernville Short-Term Rental Market Composition (2025): Property & Room Types

Room Type Distribution

Property Type Distribution

Market Composition Insights for Kernville

  • The Kernville Airbnb market composition is heavily skewed towards Entire Home/Apt listings, which make up 91% of the 89 active rentals. This indicates strong guest preference for privacy and space.
  • Looking at the property type distribution in Kernville, House properties are the most common (47.2%), reflecting the local real estate landscape.
  • Houses represent a significant 47.2% portion, catering likely to families or larger groups.
  • The presence of 7.9% Hotel/Boutique listings indicates integration with traditional hospitality.
  • Smaller segments like others (combined 4.5%) offer potential for unique stay experiences.

Kernville Airbnb Room Capacity Analysis (2025): Bedroom Distribution

Distribution of Listings by Number of Bedrooms

Room Capacity Insights for Kernville

  • The dominant room capacity in Kernville is 3 bedrooms listings, making up 31.5% of the market. This suggests a strong demand for properties suitable for families or small groups.
  • Together, 3 bedrooms and 2 bedrooms properties represent 63.0% of the active Airbnb listings in Kernville, indicating a high concentration in these sizes.
  • A significant 46.1% of listings offer 3+ bedrooms, catering to larger groups and families seeking more space in Kernville.

Kernville Vacation Rental Guest Capacity Trends (2025)

Distribution of Listings by Guest Capacity

Guest Capacity Insights for Kernville

  • The most common guest capacity trend in Kernville vacation rentals is listings accommodating 8+ guests (30.3%). This suggests the primary traveler segment is likely larger groups.
  • Properties designed for 8+ guests and 6 guests dominate the Kernville STR market, accounting for 57.3% of listings.
  • 60.7% of properties accommodate 6+ guests, serving the market segment for larger families or group travel in Kernville.
  • On average, properties in Kernville are equipped to host 5.6 guests.

Kernville Airbnb Booking Patterns (2025): Available vs. Booked Days

Available Days Distribution

Booked Days Distribution

Booking Pattern Insights for Kernville

  • The most common availability pattern in Kernville falls within the 271-366 days range, representing 38.2% of listings. This suggests many properties have significant open periods on their calendars.
  • Approximately 69.7% of listings show high availability (181+ days open annually), indicating potential for increased bookings or specific owner usage patterns.
  • For booked days, the 91-180 days range is most frequent in Kernville (34.8%), reflecting common guest stay durations or potential owner blocking patterns.
  • A notable 30.3% of properties secure long booking periods (181+ days booked per year), highlighting successful long-term rental strategies or significant owner usage.

Kernville Airbnb Minimum Stay Requirements Analysis

Distribution of Listings by Minimum Night Requirement

1 Night (26.7%)

1 Night

23 listings

26.7% of total

2 Nights (50%)

2 Nights

43 listings

50% of total

3 Nights (4.7%)

3 Nights

4 listings

4.7% of total

30+ Nights (18.6%)

30+ Nights

16 listings

18.6% of total

Key Insights

  • The most prevalent minimum stay requirement in Kernville is 2 Nights, adopted by 50% of listings. This highlights the market's preference for shorter, flexible bookings.
  • A strong majority (76.7%) of the Kernville Airbnb data shows acceptance of very short stays (1-2 nights), indicating a dynamic, high-turnover market.
  • A significant segment (18.6%) caters to monthly stays (30+ nights) in Kernville, pointing to opportunities in the extended-stay market.

Recommendations

  • Align with the market by considering a 2 Nights minimum stay, as 50% of Kernville hosts use this setting.
  • If feasible, allowing 1-night stays, especially midweek or during low season, could capture last-minute bookings, as only 26.7% currently do.
  • Explore offering discounts for stays of 30+ nights to attract the 18.6% of the market seeking extended stays.
  • Adjust minimum nights based on seasonality – potentially shorter during low season and longer during peak demand periods in Kernville.

Kernville Airbnb Cancellation Policy Trends Analysis (2025)

Super Strict 30 Days (11.9%)

Super Strict 30 Days

10 listings

11.9% of total

Flexible (14.3%)

Flexible

12 listings

14.3% of total

Moderate (47.6%)

Moderate

40 listings

47.6% of total

Firm (11.9%)

Firm

10 listings

11.9% of total

Strict (14.3%)

Strict

12 listings

14.3% of total

Cancellation Policy Insights for Kernville

  • The prevailing Airbnb cancellation policy trend in Kernville is Moderate, used by 47.6% of listings.
  • There's a relatively balanced mix between guest-friendly (61.9%) and stricter (26.2%) policies, offering choices for different guest needs.

Recommendations for Hosts

  • Consider adopting a Moderate policy to align with the 47.6% market standard in Kernville.
  • Using a Strict policy might deter some guests, as only 14.3% of listings use it. Evaluate if potential revenue protection outweighs possible lower booking rates.
  • Regularly review your cancellation policy against competitors and market demand shifts in Kernville.

Kernville STR Booking Lead Time Analysis (2025)

Average Booking Lead Time by Month

Booking Lead Time Insights for Kernville

  • The overall average booking lead time for vacation rentals in Kernville is 47 days.
  • Guests book furthest in advance for stays during June (average 91 days), likely coinciding with peak travel demand or local events.
  • The shortest booking windows occur for stays in January (average 27 days), indicating more last-minute travel plans during this time.
  • Seasonally, Summer (71 days avg.) sees the longest lead times, while Winter (40 days avg.) has the shortest, reflecting typical travel planning cycles.

Recommendations for Hosts

  • Use the overall average lead time (47 days) as a baseline for your pricing and availability strategy in Kernville.
  • For June stays, consider implementing length-of-stay discounts or slightly higher rates for bookings made less than 91 days out to capitalize on advance planning.
  • Target marketing efforts for the Summer season well in advance (at least 71 days) to capture early planners.
  • Monitor your own booking lead times against these Kernville averages to identify opportunities for dynamic pricing adjustments.

Popular & Essential Airbnb Amenities in Kernville (2025)

Amenity Prevalence

Amenity Insights for Kernville

  • Essential amenities in Kernville that guests expect include: Free parking on premises, Heating, Wifi. Lacking these (any) could significantly impact bookings.
  • Popular amenities like Bed linens, Smoke alarm, Air conditioning are common but not universal. Offering these can provide a competitive edge.

Recommendations for Hosts

  • Ensure your listing includes all essential amenities for Kernville: Free parking on premises, Heating, Wifi.
  • Prioritize adding missing essentials: Heating, Wifi.
  • Consider adding popular differentiators like Bed linens or Smoke alarm to increase appeal.
  • Highlight unique or less common amenities you offer (e.g., hot tub, dedicated workspace, EV charger) in your listing description and photos.
  • Regularly check competitor amenities in Kernville to stay competitive.

Kernville Airbnb Guest Demographics & Profile Analysis (2025)

Guest Origin: Domestic vs. International
Top 5 Cities of Origin
Top 5 Countries of Origin
Top 5 Languages Spoken
Guest Age Distribution (Birth Decade)

Guest Profile Summary for Kernville

  • The typical guest profile for Airbnb in Kernville consists of primarily domestic travelers (97%), often arriving from nearby Los Angeles, typically belonging to the Post-2000s (Gen Z/Alpha) group (50%), primarily speaking English or Spanish.
  • Domestic travelers account for 96.6% of guests.
  • Key international markets include United States (96.6%) and United Kingdom (1%).
  • Top languages spoken are English (67.8%) followed by Spanish (15.2%).
  • A significant demographic segment is the Post-2000s (Gen Z/Alpha) group, representing 50% of guests.

Recommendations for Hosts

  • Target domestic marketing efforts towards travelers from Los Angeles and San Diego.
  • Tailor amenities and listing descriptions to appeal to the dominant Post-2000s (Gen Z/Alpha) demographic (e.g., highlight fast WiFi, smart home features, local guides).
  • Highlight unique local experiences or amenities relevant to the primary guest profile.
  • Consider seasonal promotions aligned with peak travel times for key origin markets.

Nearby Short-Term Rental Market Comparison

How does the Kernville Airbnb market stack up against its neighbors? Compare key performance metrics like average monthly revenue, ADR, and occupancy rates in surrounding areas to understand the broader regional STR landscape.

MarketActive PropertiesMonthly RevenueDaily RateAvg. Occupancy
Malibu349$10,630$1197.3442%
Montecito133$8,379$805.9647%
Unincorporated Santa Monica Mountains152$7,297$646.3546%
Toro Canyon37$6,803$581.4342%
Summerland71$6,040$457.2848%
Universal City11$5,612$438.8941%
Santa Barbara948$5,283$420.4149%
Carpinteria147$5,161$434.4544%
Oxnard296$4,894$480.1344%
Three Rivers387$4,848$341.1650%

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